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So, it's four more years then?

So it looks as if it's going to be four more years of Bush. I won't have to tell you that I think this is worse than bad - it's disastrous. However, the American people have spoken, and if there's one silver lining to the dark storm cloud that hangs over the world this morning, it's that they have done so in large numbers. For the first time in many years, the electorate was involved. An involved electorate will educate itself, organise itself, and over time, make better and better decisions.
The Abu Ghraib administration will undoubtedly consider itself unleashed, so I don't expect a lot of good news in the next four years. But after that, a more careful, less reckless, less spendthrift and more genuinely conservative administration may replace them. They may even be Republican!

And that's it for me on American politics for the next couple of weeks. I'm putting down the Kool-Aid, handing in my Order of the Shrill badge and focusing on work, music, comics and a little bit of Euro-politics where I'm actually well-informed.

(Actually, I've learned quite a bit these past few months, and I hope I'll be able to put that to good use in my writing and cartooning.)

Update: What John said.
Update to the update: What John said.
Update to the update to the update: What John said, again.
Update highlighting someone not named John Hesiod begs to differ even with the turnout thing. I don't know how long this link will continue to work because Hesiod wants to shut down his blog, so I've reproduced it in its entirety below the fold.


2000 Popular vote totals:

Gore - 50,999,897

Bush - 50,456,002

2004 popular vote totals (so far)

Bush - 58,162,305

Kerry - 54,623,559

If you recall, prior to the election there were prediction of record voter turnout. Or that there would be between 118 and 120 million voters this election.

Well...if you do the math, it's pretty clear that we only got about 113-114 million voters this year.

John Kerry didn't lose this election because of his ideas, or because of a poorly run campaign. He lost because the overhyped, overrated Democratic voter GOTV operation was putrid, pathetic and impotent.

We heard, prior to the election, that we'd have a "record" voter turnout. But, it "turns out" that this election didn't even approach 1992 in the percentage of eligible voters who...well...voted.

Democrats simply did not show up at the polls.

If Voter turnout really did hit the 118 million mark, John kerry would be the next President of the United States.

The same thing happened in 2002. But in that year, I chalked it up to the Democrats being demoralized.

I am at a total loss to explain this disaster.

DO NOT BELIEVE the bullshit claims that the Republicans won because they dramatically increased their voter turnout. They did, to some extent.

The truth is, that Democrats did not get out their voters. Period.

Now, some of you will argue that GOP voter suppression efforts had an impact. No doubt they did, at the margins.

It's entirely possible that Kerry might have won in the electoral college had we counteracted GOP vote suppression efforts in Ohio and Nevada more effectively. I emphasis MIGHT.

But, that would still leave John Kerry around 3 million votes shy in the popular vote.

Bottom line, Democrats better re-think , re-organize and totally revamp their Get out the Vote models, or they will be doomed to a repeat of this debacle in 2006 and possibly 2008 as well.

UPDATE: As I posted in the comments below --

No need for a bloodbath in the Democratic party.

Look at the electoral college.

If the Democrats flip Ohio next time, ande revamp their GOTV model, they win the whole enchilada. I believe the GOP has maxed out its vote %. If they run a moderate in 2008 (Mccain? Giuliani?) they will hemorrage evangelical voters, who may form a Naderesque third party that will drain GOP votes in border states.

If they run another conservatives (and God knows who that would be at this point), I don't believe they'll have a prayer in hell of winning next time.

That makes 2008 eminently doable for the Democrats.

Especially if Bill Richardson is on the top of the ticket. [Hint!]

--Say hello to New Mexico and Nevada's electoral votes, and a much more competitive Florida--.

I don't subscribe to the nonsense that the Democrats must run a Southerner to win. I think they can run a Midwestern Governor, or Senator, and win.

For example, what if Dick Gephardt ran for Governor of Missouri instead of for President? Might he have won that race? I think it's very possible.

Imagine a Governor Gephardt of Missouri running for President? He'd have revitalized his Presidential aspirations!

In any event, I'm going to leave this post up for a while, and then delete this blog by the end of the day.

This old soldier is retiring.

Keep hope alive, we are starting something big, despite the loss. The Republicans took over the country after their disasterous defeat in 1964. We can do the same thing in even less time, if we all keep at it.

Take care everybody, It's been a blast.

ONE LAST THING: I hope like the hell the Democats at least learn their lessons and DO NOT elect Senator Reid as their new minority leader in the Senate.

The Democrats must face facts and accept that they are a MINORITY party and that they need a leader form a SAFE Democratic state, who can take on the GOP and the President head opn wiuthout fear of offending his home state voters.

That's why someone like Senator Chris Dodd, would be a much better choice. Nothing against Reid, but he represents a red state. That ultimately doomed Tom Daschle, and it will make it very difficult for Reid to be an effective opposition leader.

The Democrats don't want a backroom operator or a legislative logroller. They want a fire and brimstone, take no prisoners, bomb-throwing opposition leader.

If the Democrats go down the disasterous road of hugging the Preisdent on major issues to avoid offending anyone, they will doom themselves to permanent oblivion. Now is the time to fight like hell and heighten the contradictions.

What have they got to lose, at this point?

Comments (6)


Many people who have never bothered to vote before were out yesterday in droves, which makes me feel good about fellow Americans not just complaining, but trying to do something about it. Unfortunately, just as four years ago, I have that horrid sinking feeling in the pit of my stomach.
I would like to apologize to the rest of the world for not being able to get the job done. I really tried, but I am only one vote.

Thank you from the bottom of my heart. You did what you could - more could not be expected of you.

Branko Collin:

Never before did so many Americans turn up to do something so monumentally stupid?

Branko: the speculation leading to the Great Depression might count. Maybe.

To paraphrase Linus, "I love America. It's Americans I can't stand."

Hopefully there'll be some sort of split between the hardcore intervensionist supply-sider neocons and the old-school fiscal conservatives. There actually are established third parties like the American Independent Party looking to move in on ultraconservatives, and the remnants af the Reform Party are eyeing the more moderate conservative elements. The Libertarian Party may, if the Republican Party continues to radicalize, make some gains among the government-off-our-backs crowd if they run some more moderate candidates. The Green Party looks to be dead in the water at this point, as few liberals will be willing to split the vote that way until the federal leadership swings back to the left of Atilla the Hun.

Brad DeLong:

You cannot hand in your badge of membership in the Ancient and Hermetic Order of the Shrill. There is no way out. Once you have seen the Nameless Horror that humans were not meant to know, there is no way back.

Aaaiii! Ph'nglui mglw'nafh Bush Cheney R'lyeh wagn'nagl fhtagn! Aaaiii!!! Yog-Sothoth! Yog-Sothoth!! Yog-Sothoth!!!

Professor, I've already found this out! Four days, and still the shrill unholy din of heathen flutes rings discordantly in my ears, making me fear I shall go MAD!!! Again!

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This page contains a single entry from the blog posted on November 3, 2004 9:19 AM.

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